The race for World Cup 2026 qualification heats up as Israel faces Italy in a crucial Group I encounter. Both teams head into this match on the back of emphatic victories – Israel thumped Moldova 4-0, while Italy dismantled Estonia 5-0. With both sides firing a combined nine unanswered goals last Friday, this promises to be a blockbuster clash.
Israel’s Current Form: Chasing a Historic Return
Israel’s dream of reaching its first World Cup finals since 1970 is very much alive. The Skyblue and Whites have won five of their last six qualifiers (L1), displaying consistency in attack and resilience in defense.
However, with no home advantage due to the ongoing situation in the Middle East, Israel will need to overcome the psychological hurdle of playing away from home. Their 4-2 defeat to Norway as “hosts” still lingers as a reminder that lapses can prove costly.
Key man Oscar Gloukh continues to shine, scoring his fourth international goal – all after half-time – against Moldova. His creativity and composure could be vital in unlocking Italy’s defense.
Italy’s Revival Under Gattuso
Italy’s qualification hopes were hanging by a thread before Gennaro Gattuso took over. His debut brought a much-needed 5-0 win over Estonia, but the scoreline flattered them – the Azzurri were goalless at halftime and had to dig deep for their breakthrough.
This fixture is an actual test: defeat would open a six-point gap to the top two, risking a third consecutive World Cup absence for the four-time champions. With pressure mounting, Italy will rely on its stars to deliver.
Super sub Giacomo Raspadori is one to watch – his impact off the bench (1 goal, 2 assists in 25 minutes vs Estonia) highlights Italy’s depth in attack.
Head-to-Head: Italy Holds the Upper Hand
- Italy unbeaten vs Israel (W6, D1)
- Last four meetings.
- Both teams scored in both Nations League clashes in 2024
This history tilts the balance in Italy’s favor, but Israel’s current form suggests this encounter could be much tighter than previous meetings.
Hot Stats and Betting Trends
- None of Israel’s last 12 WCQ matches ended in a draw (W8, L4).
- Israel has 10+ shots in each of their last six matches.
- Italy has failed to score in their last three WCQ away games (D2, L1).
- Just three of Italy’s last 21 WCQs have seen both teams score.
These statistics point to a fiercely contested game, where one moment of brilliance – or a costly mistake – could decide the outcome.
Key Prediction
With both teams chasing qualification glory, this is set up to be a thrilling contest. Israel’s attacking intent and Italy’s desperate need for points mean we should see chances at both ends.
- Prediction: Both teams to score (BTTS) looks a strong pick.
- Correct Score Tip: 1-1 or 2-1 either way.
- Risky Value Bet: Oscar Gloukh to score in the second half.
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