The FIFA World Cup 2026 qualifiers are heating up, and all eyes turn to Tbilisi, where Georgia and Bulgaria will battle it out as both sides aim to bounce back from disappointing opening-day defeats. For Kenyan fans and punters, this is a high-stakes encounter offering both drama and betting opportunities.
Match Preview and Current Form
Georgia’s Resilience Tested
Georgia’s 3-2 loss to Turkey might appear to be a setback, but it highlighted their fighting spirit. Down 3-0 with just half an hour to play, Willy Sagnol’s men showed determination to claw back into the game. Coming off a historic Euro 2024 run where they reached the knockout stages, Georgia is hungry to secure their first-ever World Cup appearance.
Key to their campaign is their attacking firepower — with 11 goals in just three competitive fixtures this year, the Crusaders are proving to be a side that knows how to find the net.
Bulgaria’s Struggles Continue
For Bulgaria, it has been more than two decades since their last World Cup appearance in 1998, and their campaign began with a crushing 3-0 defeat to Spain. The Lions are now winless in six (D2, L4) and are leaking goals at an alarming rate, conceding 2+ in five straight matches. Even worse, they haven’t won a World Cup qualifier away from home since 2013.
This trip to Georgia could prove daunting, especially given the already low confidence.
Head-to-Head Insights
Bulgaria has historically had the edge in this fixture, winning 4 of the last 8 meetings (D2, L2). However, Georgia’s recent rise cannot be ignored. Fans should also note the goal-fest trend: three of the last four meetings produced 5+ goals.
Key Stats to Know
- Georgia has seen the team leading at halftime win in 5 of its last six games.
- Only one of Georgia’s last 11 competitive fixtures ended in a draw.
- Bulgaria is a specialist in stalemates — 9 of their last 17 matches ended in a draw.
- Bulgaria has failed to win any of its last four matches when scoring first.
Players to Watch
- Khvicha Kvaratskhelia (Georgia): The Napoli star ended his scoring drought against Turkey and will be key in unlocking Bulgaria’s shaky defense. He also netted in Georgia’s 5-2 win over Bulgaria back in June 2022.
- Aleksandar Kolev (Bulgaria): Scored their last two international goals but remains out of form for club and country. With Kiril Despodov sidelined, much of Bulgaria’s attacking responsibility falls on him.
Prediction and Betting Tips
Georgia’s momentum, attacking flair, and home advantage make them clear favorites. Bulgaria’s defensive fragility and poor away record add to their woes. Expect Georgia to strike early and maintain control throughout the game.
Predicted Score: Georgia 3-1 Bulgaria
Best Bets for Kenyan Punters:
- Georgia to win HT/FT ✅
- Over 2.5 goals ✅
- Khvicha Kvaratskhelia to score anytime ✅
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Final Word
Georgia has momentum and the firepower to make Tbilisi a fortress, while Bulgaria’s away woes continue to haunt them. Expect a passionate encounter, goals, and a decisive home victory — perfect for Kenyan punters seeking value in World Cup qualifier betting.
