Fulham vs Arsenal Prediction: Who Will Prevail at Craven Cottage?

Fulham come into this fixture reeling from back-to-back 3–1 losses to Aston Villa and Bournemouth, leaving them in 14th place on 8 points (W2, D2, L3). The damage is deeper than the table suggests — the Cottagers face the real possibility of conceding 3+ goals in three straight games for the first time since 2020. Their recent defeats have included a 3–0 home loss to Arsenal, and manager Marco Silva will be desperate to avoid a replay of that humiliation.

Interestingly, Craven Cottage has often been a safer ground: across competitions, Fulham have won each of their last four home fixtures. A fortress? Not precisely, but solid enough that they won’t be overawed.

On the other side, Arsenal head into this match buoyed by consistency. A 2–0 win over West Ham before the international break saw them top the table after seven matchdays. That result also extended their strong London derby record: in their last 18 top-flight derbies, they’ve lost just once (W13, D4). Since 2025 began, they’ve lost only 3 of 27 Premier League matches (W15, D9) — the fewest among ever-present teams.

Their away record is also impressive: just one defeat in their past 17 Premier League road games (W9, D7), and that lone loss came against Liverpool, the defending champions.

Head-to-Head and Key Stats

• Fulham have won only once in their last 14 Premier League meetings with Arsenal (D4, L9).
  
• Arsenal have scored in each of their last 20 matches against Fulham in the Premier League.
  
• This season, five of Fulham’s league matches were level at half-time — a league-high figure.
  
• Fulham have kept just one clean sheet across their last 16 league fixtures.
  
• Arsenal, despite their dominance, have only scored one of their 14 league goals before the 30th minute this season.
  
• In each of their last six Premier League games, Arsenal have faced 10 or fewer shots — a testament to their defensive structure and control.

Taken together, these stats lean in Arsenal’s favor: they often find a way to break down Fulham, and the home side struggles to keep clean sheets.

Players to Watch and Absentees

• Alex Iwobi (formerly of Arsenal) has been one of Fulham’s few bright sparks. All three of his league goal contributions this season (1 goal, two assists) have come at home.
  
• Declan Rice has been in red-hot form: he has recorded a goal or assist in each of his last two league appearances, and he has 6 goal contributions in his previous seven away London derbies (G2, A4).
  
• Fulham will miss Kenny Tete and Rodrigo Muniz—both significant absentees in defense and attack, respectively.
  
• Arsenal will be without Martin Ødegaard and Noni Madueke, two key creative players in their lineup.

These absences might blunt Arsenal’s attacking diversity, but with their squad depth, they should still have enough firepower to test Fulham’s shaky defense.

 Prediction and Scoreline

Given the trends, recent form, and head-to-head dominance, Arsenal are clear favorites. But Fulham have enough in their home form to push and grab at least a goal. With both teams having found the net often, the prediction is:

Arsenal to win & Both Teams to Score
Predicted score: Fulham 1–2 Arsenal

It’s likely to be a close, tense match — but the Gunners’ consistency, attacking quality, and defensive discipline should edge them through.

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