Real Madrid return to the Santiago Bernabéu under pressure after their UEFA Champions League exit, with their La Liga title hopes hanging by a thread. Meanwhile, Alavés arrive desperate for points in their survival battle, setting up a high-stakes clash with plenty on the line.
Match Preview: Pressure Mounts on Madrid
There’s no hiding place for Real Madrid right now. After crashing out of Europe against Bayern Munich, the focus shifts fully to La Liga—but even that looks like a long shot.
Nine points behind Barcelona with just seven games remaining, Madrid simply cannot afford another slip. Their recent league form (D1, L1 in April) highlights inconsistency, while defensive lapses—conceding in eight straight matches—raise concerns.
Still, their home form offers hope. Seven wins in their last nine league games at the Bernabéu show they remain a dominant force on their day.
Alavés Fighting for Survival
For Deportivo Alavés, this is about survival. Just one point above the relegation zone, every result matters.
A four-game unbeaten run (W1, D3) suggests resilience, but draws alone won’t be enough. Their recent 3-3 thriller against Real Sociedad shows attacking intent—but also defensive vulnerability.
Interestingly, Alavés have scored at least twice in their last three away matches, meaning they won’t arrive just to sit back.
Head-to-Head Dominance
History heavily favors Madrid:
- 8 consecutive wins vs Alavés
- 17 wins in 19 home meetings
- Strong scoring record in this fixture
This dominance gives Madrid a psychological edge, especially at home.
Key Stats and Trends
- Madrid has conceded in 8 straight La Liga games
- Madrid has a 100% win rate in Tuesday home matches (W15)
- Alavés have seen BTTS in their last 5 games
- Alavés have conceded first in 12 of 16 away matches
These trends strongly point toward an open, attacking game.
Key Players to Watch
- Vinícius Júnior – A proven threat in this fixture, especially after halftime
- Ibrahim Diabaté – Early goal danger, with most goals coming before HT
Madrid’s attacking quality could be decisive, but Alavés’ early scoring pattern could create early tension.
Team News
- Madrid missing: Raúl Asencio (illness), Thibaut Courtois, Rodrygo
- Alavés missing: Abderrahman Rebbach (suspension)
Squad depth still favors Madrid despite key absences.
Betting Analysis and Prediction
Both teams are trending toward high-scoring games, and defensive weaknesses on both sides make this one ideal for goals.
Best Bets:
- ✅ Over 2.5 Goals
- ✅ Both Teams to Score (BTTS)
- ⭐ Over 3.5 Goals (Value pick)
Final Prediction:
Real Madrid 3-1 Alavés
Madrid’s quality and home advantage should see them through, but don’t expect a clean sheet.
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