Second-placed Borussia Dortmund return to Signal Iduna Park aiming to register their first Bundesliga win of 2026 when they host a Werder Bremen side still searching for momentum after an extended winter break.
With Dortmund pushing to cement a top-four place and Bremen struggling against elite opposition, this clash strongly favours the home side.
Match News and Current Form
Dortmund remain unbeaten against every Bundesliga side except Bayern Munich this season, and their dramatic late equaliser away to Eintracht Frankfurt showed their resilience. A return home is timely. Back-to-back 2–0 Bundesliga wins at Signal Iduna Park underline their strength, backed by an imposing unbeaten home league record (W5, D2) this term.
The only concern for the hosts is their unusual Tuesday curse, having won just one of their last eight Bundesliga matches played on this day. However, the current form and opponent profile suggest that the trend may finally be broken.
Bremen, meanwhile, comes into this fixture short of rhythm. Their last competitive outing was postponed, extending a five-match winless run (D2, L3). Away from home, the problems deepen: they are winless in their last six Bundesliga away games and have failed to beat any side currently in the top eight this season.
Head-to-Head History
Dortmund have dominated this fixture historically, losing just one of the last 13 Bundesliga meetings. While Bremen have picked up draws in recent visits, the overall pattern strongly favours the hosts, especially when Dortmund score first.
Hot Stats and Key Trends
- Dortmund have kept a clean sheet in 8 of their 9 league wins.
- Dortmund led at half-time in 4 of their last 5 Bundesliga home victories.s
- 5 of Bremen’s 6 league defeats this season came by 2+ goals
- 9 of Bremen’s last 10 Bundesliga games saw under 1.5 first-half goals
These numbers point towards a controlled Dortmund performance rather than a high-scoring shootout.
Key Players to Watch
- Maximilian Beier (Dortmund): Scored the opener against Frankfurt and remains unbeaten when scoring in the Bundesliga this season.
- Samuel Mbangula (Bremen): Bremen’s lucky charm, unbeaten in league games where he has found the net across multiple seasons.
Team News and Injuries
Dortmund welcome Jobe Bellingham back from suspension, a boost to midfield energy and pressing. Defender Aarón Anselmino remains sidelined.
Bremen are monitoring goalkeeper Mio Backhaus, who picked up a minor eye injury in training. His availability could be crucial given Bremen’s defensive struggles away from home.
Betting Analysis and Match Prediction
Dortmund’s home dominance, defensive solidity, and Bremen’s poor away record against top sides all point in the same direction.
Best Prediction:
✅ Borussia Dortmund to Win
✅ Dortmund Clean Sheet
✅ Under 3.5 Total Goals
Correct Score Tip: Dortmund 2–0 Werder Bremen
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Final Verdict
All signs point to a professional Dortmund performance at Signal Iduna Park. Expect early control, defensive discipline, and a result that strengthens their top-four ambitions—while Bremen’s away struggles continue.
Prediction: Borussia Dortmund win to nil.
