In what is arguably one of the least consequential FIFA World Cup Qualifying (WCQ) games this week, Estonia and Moldova will clash in Tallinn. Both teams are already out of contention for the top two spots in UEFA Group I, but pride, ranking points, and the battle to avoid finishing last are still on the line.
Estonia currently holds the psychological advantage, having defeated Moldova 3-2 away in March, their only win of the campaign. Since then, they have gone five games without a victory (D1, L4), showing worrying defensive lapses. Estonia’s home form has also been shaky, failing to win any of their last four in Tallinn.
Moldova’s campaign has been even worse. While they technically retain a faint chance of reaching the second round through the UEFA Nations League pathway, their seven-match losing streak in 2025 — including a humiliating 11-1 loss to Norway — highlights a team in crisis. Not since the 1994 qualifiers have Moldova gone winless through an entire WCQ cycle, so this match could be their last realistic shot to avoid that unwanted record.
Current Form and Statistics
- Estonia has conceded in every one of their last four victories.
- Five of Estonia’s last seven games produced over 2.5 goals.
- Moldova has trailed at half-time in all seven of their matches this year.
- Moldova has lost 14 consecutive World Cup qualifiers, ten of them by 2+ goals.
These stats paint a clear picture — both sides leak goals, but Moldova’s defensive problems are far more severe.
Head-to-Head History
Estonia has dominated this fixture historically. They’ve now won four straight meetings against Moldova, including the recent 3-2 away win. Overall, the record stands at W4, D1, L1 in Estonia’s favor.
Key Players to Watch
- Rauno Sappinen (Estonia) – The striker scored in both games against Moldova and Italy, proving he’s Estonia’s primary attacking weapon.
- Vitalie Damașcan (Moldova) – While he failed to find the net against Romania, he entered the international window with back-to-back club goals.
Team News:
Estonian defender Karol Mets could return to the starting lineup after injury, while Moldova is near full strength, though Ion Nicolaescu missed their 2-1 friendly defeat to Romania.

Expert Match Prediction
Given both teams’ form, Estonia is the logical pick to win. Their defense isn’t perfect, but they are more organized and possess better attacking outlets at home. Moldova’s confidence is at rock bottom after a string of heavy defeats, and their inability to score early often leaves them chasing games.
Predicted Score:
👉 Estonia 2 – 0 Moldova
Betting Tips:
- Full-Time Result: Estonia to win ✅
- Alternative Option: Over 2.5 goals ⚽
- High-Risk Option: Estonia to win both halves
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Final Thoughts
While this Estonia vs Moldova encounter may not change the Group I table dramatically, it still holds value for fans and bettors alike. Estonia’s superior record, home advantage, and Moldova’s dreadful run suggest a comfortable home win.
Expect a solid performance from Sappinen and company — and if you’re placing a wager, remember: bet responsibly, enjoy the thrill, and keep it fun.

