Bayer Leverkusen look set to take another confident step towards defending their DFB-Pokal title when they host Bundesliga strugglers St Pauli in this mouth-watering quarter-final clash. On paper, this fixture strongly favours the hosts, but cup football always has room for surprises.
For Tanzanian football fans and bettors, this match offers excellent value, especially with Leverkusen’s dominant home form against lower-ranked opposition.
Match News and Current Form
Leverkusen come into this tie in red-hot form after securing a third straight win across all competitions with a 3-1 victory over Eintracht Frankfurt. Still fighting on three fronts, Xabi Alonso’s men are showing the same ruthless consistency that saw them lift last season’s Pokal trophy.
Their record against teams below them in the Bundesliga this season is outstanding (W10, D2, L1), and at home in the Pokal, they are even more intimidating. Leverkusen have won five consecutive DFB-Pokal home matches, scoring three or more goals in each of their last four home quarter-finals.
St Pauli, on the other hand, is battling for survival. Their 2-1 defeat to Augsburg extended their winless run to six matches, leaving them five points from safety. While they have enjoyed a spirited cup run—knocking out Hoffenheim and another Bundesliga side—their away form is worrying, with eight losses in their last 11 competitive road games.
Head-to-Head History
Leverkusen are unbeaten in their last three meetings with St Pauli (W2, D1), although they failed to keep a clean sheet in all three. Interestingly, St Pauli have eliminated Leverkusen twice from this competition in the 21st century, both times by a single-goal margin.
However, the current form heavily favours the defending champions.
Key Stats and Trends
- Leverkusen have won five of their last six home games against lower-ranked teams by at least a 2-goal margin.
- Leverkusen have won seven of their last ten Pokal matches to nil.
- Six of St Pauli’s last ten Pokal games went to extra-time.
- Six of St Pauli’s last eight away matches saw both teams score and over 2.5 goals.
These numbers suggest goals are likely, but Leverkusen should control proceedings.
Key Players to Watch
Alejandro Grimaldo continues to shine in this competition with two goals and one assist, and he arrives in form after contributing in back-to-back matches.
For St Pauli, Martijn Kaars has been their cup hero, scoring twice and providing an assist, including opening goals for two different clubs this season.
Missing Players
- Leverkusen: Christian Kofane is a doubt.
- St Pauli: Hauke Wahl may miss out in defence.
Betting Prediction and Analysis
With Leverkusen’s dominant home form and St Pauli’s struggles away from home, this match looks like a classic one-sided cup tie.
Best Bet:
Leverkusen -1 Handicap
Leverkusen are likely to win by at least two goals, making this one of the safest options on the board.
Correct Score Tip:
Leverkusen 3-1 St Pauli
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Final Verdict
This quarter-final strongly favours Bayer Leverkusen. With superior quality, strong home form, and attacking depth, the defending champions should comfortably progress to the semi-finals.
For Tanzanian bettors, Leverkusen -1 handicap is the smartest and safest bet for this clash.
