Six-time champions Liverpool are closing in on automatic qualification to the UEFA Champions League (UCL) last 16 as they welcome ambitious Qarabağ to Anfield. With both sides chasing progression, this final league-phase fixture promises goals, intensity, and substantial betting value.
Match Context and What’s at Stake
Liverpool begin matchday eight in a strong position inside the top eight and can all but secure direct passage to the knockouts with a positive result. Qarabağ, meanwhile, is chasing history—aiming to become the first Azerbaijani club to reach the UCL knockout rounds. A top-24 finish is still not guaranteed for the visitors, so that motivation will be sky-high.
Current Form and Momentum
🔴 Liverpool
The Reds’ 13-game unbeaten run ended dramatically at the weekend, conceding late in a 3-2 defeat away to Bournemouth. That result underlined ongoing defensive fragility, but Europe has been kinder recently. Back-to-back UCL wins without conceding against Inter and Marseille pushed Liverpool to 17 wins from their last 20 league-phase/group-stage matches.
However, a heavy 4-1 home loss to PSV in their last European outing at Anfield shows that this Liverpool side can be vulnerable on the big stage—particularly at the back.
🟡 Qarabağ
Qarabağ arrive in England dreaming big. They snapped a four-match UCL winless run with a thrilling 3-2 comeback win over Frankfurt, taking their tally of points won from losing positions to a competition-high seven. A rotated side lost domestically at the weekend, suggesting fresh legs for this trip.
Away from home in Europe, though, the Horsemen have lost their last two UCL road games by two-goal margins—an obvious concern against elite opposition.
Head-to-Head Insight
This is the first-ever meeting. Liverpool is also facing Azerbaijani opposition for the first time, while Qarabağ remains winless in eight European encounters with English clubs (D1, L7). History favours the hosts, but narratives don’t decide matches.
Key Stats and Betting Trends
- Only 3 of Liverpool’s last 13 games ended with a 2+ goal margin.
- BTTS landed in 5 of Liverpool’s last 7 home matches
- 8 of Qarabağ’s last 10 European games went over 3.5 goals
- Qarabağ’s HT result matched FT in just 1 league-phase game this season
These numbers point strongly toward goals—and potentially at both ends.
Players to Watch
- Florian Wirtz (Liverpool): Previously tormented Qarabağ with five goal involvements across four matches during his Leverkusen days. His movement between the lines could be decisive.
- Camilo Durán (Qarabağ): Made club history by scoring twice in a UCL proper match last time out. All his UCL goals this season came in high-scoring games (over 4.5 goals).
Team News: Liverpool will monitor defensive fitness after Joe Gomez limped off at the weekend. Qarabağ report no new injury concerns.

Tactical Snapshot
Expect Liverpool to dominate possession and territory, but Qarabağ’s willingness to press and counter—especially when trailing—can expose a Reds defence that has struggled to close games. With both teams highly motivated and trends pointing to open football, entertainment looks likely.
✅ Match Prediction and Best Bets
Prediction: Liverpool to win, but Qarabağ to score
Best Betting Markets:
- Both Teams to Score – YES
- Over 2.5 Goals
- Liverpool Win & BTTS (higher odds)
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