Arsenal enter this fixture brimming with confidence. Having won their last three Premier League games, they’ve built a three-point lead at the top of the table. Their defense has been imposing: they’ve conceded just three goals in eight league matches — their joint-fewest after eight games since the 1998/99 season. On top of that, their latest mid-week triumph—a 4-0 away win in the UEFA Champions League over Atlético Madrid—marked their fourth straight clean sheet in all competitions. Unbeaten at home this season (W5 D1), the Gunners are clearly in strong shape.
Crystal Palace comes into the match as clear underdogs. Their recent run is shaky: winless in their last three games (D1 L2), the most extended drought since April. Their shock mid-week exit from the UEFA Conference League at the hands of AEK Larnaca (1-0) dampened spirits further. While they sit solidly mid-table and have taken just one league defeat this season (W3 D4), their away form doesn’t inspire major confidence: in their last four away matches, no draw has occurred (W3 L1) and they’ve often struggled to make a real impact on the road.
Head-to-Head and Key Trends
Looking at the direct match-ups, Arsenal dominate. The Gunners have won six of the last seven meetings between the two clubs, drawing the most recent 2-2. At home, Arsenal have lost only one of their previous 16 Premier League meetings vs Palace (W9 D6). In addition, the home side has recorded 10 or more corners in three of their last four league games, and they haven’t lost a Sunday-held home league game since April 2024 (W4 D2) — all signs pointing to a strong home day.
For Palace, a couple of stats stand out: they’ve led more half-time league games this term than any other side (five), suggesting they start fast but often don’t complete the job. Also, each of their last three away league fixtures contained exactly three goals — hinting that while they may be involved, they’re perhaps more vulnerable than sturdy.
Players to Watch
On the Arsenal side, Viktor Gyökeres has been a revelation: all five of his goals have come at home, and each arrived after the break, including his brace against Atlético Madrid. While he is yet to score in a London derby, his recent form makes him a threat. For Palace, Jean‑Philippe Mateta is one to keep an eye on — he’s scored five times in his last eight London derbies, and on three of his previous four scoring outings he opened the game. Both sides reported no new injury concerns ahead of this clash.
Prediction
Given Arsenal’s dominant recent form, especially at home, combined with Palace’s stuttering away record and head-to-head struggles, the tilt heavily favours the hosts. My prediction: Arsenal win without conceding. Expect the Gunners to assert control early, tighten defensively, and finish with a clean sheet.
Scoreline Prediction
Arsenal 2-0 Crystal Palace
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