The World Cup dream heats up in Group K as Latvia hosts Serbia in a historic first-ever meeting. Both sides sit on four points, making this a crucial battle for momentum in their qualification journey. With England dominating the group, this fixture could decide who stays in the fight for a play-off spot.
📰 Match News and Form Guide
Latvia, also known as The Wolves, has played one game more than Serbia (W1, D1, L1). Paolo Nicolato’s men are fighting alongside Albania for second place but face a tough road. Their worrying statistic is in attack — it has been 17 matches since they last scored more than once in a game, back in October 2023. With just one win in their last eight (D3, L4), Latvian fans know they are underdogs here.
Serbia, on the other hand, arrives with experience and consistency. Boasting seven players with 50+ caps, the Eagles have started strong (W1, D1) and are unbeaten in their last six matches (W2, D4). Their defence is rock solid, with three consecutive clean sheets. However, they remain winless in their previous eight away matches (D5, L3), which leaves the door slightly ajar for Latvia.
⚔️ Head-to-Head History
This will be the first-ever meeting between Latvia and Serbia, adding extra intrigue as both sides look to make history with a win.
📊 Hot Stats and Key Trends
- Five of Latvia’s last seven matches saw under 2.5 goals.
- None of Latvia’s last five WCQ games produced goals after the 80th minute.
- Five of Serbia’s last six games also had under 2.5 goals.
- Serbia has won four of its last seven WCQ away games by a one-goal margin.
🌟 Key Players to Watch
- Latvia: Jānis Ikaunieks – In red-hot form at club level with four goals in his last seven appearances. If he sparks, Latvia could dream.
- Serbia: Dušan Vlahović – The Juventus striker has started the season superbly, scoring in both league games off the bench. His sharpness could punish Latvia’s fragile defence.
Injury News: Latvia will miss captain Kristers Tobers and forward Roberts Uldriķis, big blows to their chances. Serbia’s talisman Aleksandar Mitrović is doubtful but has been called up, leaving fans hopeful.
💡 Betting Analysis and Prediction
Serbia is a firm favourite, but their struggles away from home make this less than straightforward. Latvia’s lack of attacking edge means they’ll likely sit back and frustrate, but Serbia’s class and depth should shine through.
👉 Prediction: Latvia 0 – 2 Serbia
👉 Best Bet: Serbia to win with -1.5 Asian Handicap (better odds and value compared to straight win).
Expect a low-scoring affair, but Serbia’s firepower, led by Vlahović, should be enough to secure all three points.
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✅ Latvia vs Serbia WCQ – Serbia to win comfortably, value in -1.5 handicap bet.
