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Auxerre vs PSG Prediction: Title Chasers Face a Relegation Fight in Ligue 1

Struggling Auxerre are staring at relegation danger, while Paris Saint-Germain (PSG) are desperate to keep pace in the Ligue 1 title race. With two teams heading in opposite directions, this clash promises drama, goals, and high betting value.

Match News and Current Form

Auxerre: In Freefall

Auxerre’s 2026 campaign has begun in nightmare fashion. Two straight defeats have left them six points inside the relegation zone, and their confidence is at rock bottom.

  • 13 losses in their last 18 competitive matches
  • Failed to score in nine Ligue 1 games this season
  • Lost 1-0 to Lens last weekend
  • 10 of their 12 points this season have come at home

Coach Christophe Pélissier remains optimistic, but time is running out. Auxerre must turn home games into points for survival.

PSG: Chasing the Title

PSG arrive in Burgundy on the back of a mixed week. A dominant 3-0 win over Lille was followed by a painful 2-1 Champions League loss to Sporting CP.

They now trail the Ligue 1 leaders by just one point, making this fixture a must-win.

  • Four straight Ligue 1 victories
  • Scored 18 first-half goals (league-high)
  • Conceded 11 of 15 goals away from home
  • Away record: W5, D2, L2

PSG know that any slip could cost them the title.

Head-to-Head Record

PSG dominate this fixture historically:

  • PSG wins: 12 of last 18
  • Last meeting: PSG won 2-0 (September)
  • However, PSG have won just 2 of their last 6 away trips to Auxerre

This suggests PSG are favourites, but the hosts could make it uncomfortable.

Hot Stats and Trends

  • Auxerre scored 7 of 10 home goals after half-time
  • Auxerre lost 12 of 13 games when conceding first.
  • Six of PSG’s last seven league games ended with over 2.5 goals.
  • PSG has an average fast start with early goals
Auxerre vs PSG Prediction: Title Chasers Face a Relegation Fight in Ligue 1
Photo courtesy

Key Players to Watch

Auxerre – Danny Namaso

One of the most fouled players in Ligue 1 (32 fouls). He has opened the scoring in 4 of his last 5 goals.

PSG – Bradley Barcola

PSG rarely loses when he scores:

  • Record when Barcola scores: W24, D2, L1

Team News

  • Auxerre: No fresh injury concerns
  • PSG: João Neves remains a doubt as he continues recovery

Match Prediction and Betting Tips

Auxerre’s defence struggles against fast, attacking teams, while PSG is desperate for points. Expect early pressure and goals.

Best Bets

  • PSG to Win
  • Over 2.5 Goals
  • PSG to Score in First Half

Correct Score Prediction

Auxerre 1–3 PSG

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Final Verdict

PSG’s firepower and urgency should overpower a struggling Auxerre side. While the hosts may show fight, the visitors look too strong.

Prediction: PSG Win & Over 2.5 Goals

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