After edging through Group B without fully convincing, Egypt now enters the business end of the Africa Cup of Nations (AFCON) knowing there is no room for error. Standing in their way is Benin, one of the four best third-placed teams to sneak into the Round of 16. On paper, this looks like a mismatch—but AFCON history has taught us to expect surprises.
Egypt Form Guide: Results Without Rhythm
Seven points from three games (W2, D1) were enough for Egypt to top Group B, yet the performances raised questions. Late drama was required to beat Zimbabwe, while a penalty separated them from South Africa. Head coach Hossam Hassan rotated heavily on matchday three, prioritising qualification over fluency, and now the big names are expected to return.
Despite the criticism, Egypt’s underlying numbers remain strong. A 13-match unbeaten run against African opposition (W11, D2) highlights their pedigree, but memories of a shock Round of 16 exit in the previous AFCON mean complacency could be costly.
Benin Form Guide: Outsiders With Little Margin
This is Benin’s first AFCON knockout appearance since 2019, and simply reaching this stage is already an achievement. However, two group-stage defeats underline the challenge ahead. Their most recent loss came against Senegal, where even a late numerical advantage failed to produce a goal.
Benin’s recent record against elite African nations is concerning, with four defeats in their last five matches, all coming against top-ranked sides. That trend suggests they may struggle again when faced with AFCON royalty.
Head-to-Head History
Egypt has never lost to Benin (W3, D1), with their last meeting in 2010. Interestingly, those four encounters averaged a high 4.75 goals per game, though current trends point toward a tighter affair.
Key Stats and Trends
- Seven of Egypt’s last ten matches ended under 2.5 goals
- Egypt’s last five wins were by one goal or penalties.
- None of Benin’s last ten games saw both teams score.
- Benin’s last five matches all featured a first-half goal.
Players to Watch
- Mohamed El Shenawy was outstanding against South Africa, saving all six shots on target and keeping a crucial clean sheet.
- Steve Mounié has yet to score at an AFCON finals and will need to break that duck if Benin are to cause an upset.
Both teams report full-strength squads, adding intrigue to this knockout clash.
Betting Prediction
Egypt may have laboured in the group stages, but knockout football usually brings out their ruthless edge. With Benin struggling against top-tier opposition and rarely finding the net, the Pharaohs should take control.
Prediction: Egypt to win (-1 handicap)
A professional, disciplined performance—rather than a goal fest—looks the most likely outcome.
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