As the UEFA Europa League (UEL) league phase continues, Sturm Graz hosts Nottingham Forest in a clash where both sides desperately need consistency. With qualification hopes still in the balance, this fixture promises intensity, tactical battles, and high stakes for both clubs.
Match Overview
Sturm Graz enters this encounter on shaky footing. Their 2-1 defeat to Rapid Vienna extended a poor run, with three losses in their last four, conceding heavily in the process. Their latest UEL result, a 2-1 defeat to Celtic, leaves them with just three points from a possible nine, and confidence appears low.
Nottingham Forest, meanwhile, showed positive signs in their recent European outing, defeating FC Porto 2-0 in Sean Dyche’s debut. But inconsistent Premier League form (loss to Bournemouth, draw with Manchester United) keeps fans cautious. Forest has struggled defensively, with just one clean sheet all season, making this a crucial test of Dyche’s impact.
Current Form Snapshot
Sturm Graz
- Lost 3 of their last four matches
- Conceded 2+ goals in 4 of their last 6 European fixtures
- Have lost 5 of their last 6 UEL games.
- The last four European wins all came at home.
Nottingham Forest
- The first UEL win of the season came against Porto.
- UEL matches average 3.67 goals – one of the highest in the competition
- Only one of their last five matches saw both teams score.
- Defensive inconsistency remains a significant challenge.
Head-to-Head Record
This is only the second time these clubs have met in a competitive setting. Their first encounter dates back to the 1983/84 UEFA Cup quarter-final, where Nottingham Forest edged a 2-1 aggregate victory.

Players to Watch
Sturm Graz – Otar Kiteishvili
- Scored eight goals across all competitions this season
- Loves late drama—his last two goals arrived after the 85th minute
Nottingham Forest – Morgan Gibbs-White
- Scored against Manchester United last weekend
- Has contributed to a goal in each of Forest’s three UEL matches (1 goal, two assists)
Injuries:
Sturm Graz boasts near full strength, while Forest may miss Douglas Luiz after he limped off last weekend.
Tactical Analysis
Sturm Graz tend to start aggressively at home, but their defensive vulnerabilities—especially against high-tempo attacks—remain concerning. The Forest possesses a more substantial squad depth, physicality, and a more lethal frontline. If Dyche’s side maintains the discipline they showed against Porto, they should dictate possession and create higher-quality chances.
Sturm Graz’s main hope lies in capitalising on Forest’s shaky defence, especially late in the game, where they’ve conceded repeatedly this season.
Prediction: Sturm Graz 1 – 2 Nottingham Forest
Expect a competitive match with chances at both ends. Forest’s individual brilliance, stronger bench, and improved tactical approach under Dyche should give them the edge.
Likely Outcome: Nottingham Forest WIN & Over 2.5 Goals
This aligns with both teams’ recent goal trends and Forest’s superior quality.
Betting Tips
For Kenyan punters looking for value:
- ✅ Forest Win (2)
- ✅ Over 2.5 Goals
- ✅ Both Teams to Score – YES
- ✅ Morgan Gibbs-White to Score or Assist
European matches can be unpredictable, so always stake responsibly.
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Final Word
Both sides have something to prove, but the momentum and squad depth tilt the balance in favor of Nottingham Forest. Expect a lively, tactical battle with goals on the menu.


