England is just one win away from confirming its ticket to the 2026 FIFA World Cup, and all roads lead to Riga, where it faces a struggling Latvian side. Gareth Southgate’s men have looked unstoppable so far in Group K — five wins, zero goals conceded, and a confidence-boosting 3-0 friendly win over Wales.
For Latvia, this match is about pride more than qualification. After a disappointing 2-2 draw with Andorra, Paolo Nicolato’s team has gone six games without victory (D3, L3). A ruthless English attack will severely test their defensive lapses and home scoring struggles.
🔥 Current Form and Momentum
Latvia’s form (last 6): D-D-L-L-D-L
England’s form (last 6): W-W-W-W-W-W
England’s dominance on foreign soil continues — five straight away wins, four of them by two or more goals. Meanwhile, Latvia has not scored more than once at home since October 2023 and has failed to keep a first-half clean sheet in its last four matches.
Expect the trend to continue, as England have netted 21 goals in a row in their last four WCQ away fixtures.
⚽ Head-to-Head Record
- March 2025: England 3-0 Latvia (the only previous meeting)
That result says it all — complete control from the Three Lions, and there’s little evidence to suggest anything different this time around.
🌟 Key Players to Watch
- Vladislavs Gutkovskis (Latvia): Scored against Andorra and is known for opening the scoring when he finds the net.
- Morgan Rogers (England): Scored his first England goal vs Wales and has contributed in four straight matches for club and country (1G, 2A, 1YC).
- Harry Kane: Expected to return to the starting lineup after missing the Wales match. His finishing touch could make this a long night for the hosts.
England are without Ollie Watkins (injury), but Southgate has plenty of firepower in reserve.
📊 Hot Stats and Betting Insights
- Latvia has conceded in five straight matches.
- England have won both halves in four of their five qualifiers.
- Latvia has won fewer than six corners in each of its last three internationals.
- England has scored 4+ goals in their last two away qualifiers.
Tip: England to win with a -3 handicap (England to win by four or more goals).
Predicted Score: Latvia 0–4 England
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🧭 Final Word
England’s qualification destiny is in their hands, and Latvia looks unlikely to stop them. Expect a professional, high-scoring display from Southgate’s men — and another clean sheet to seal their spot at the 2026 World Cup in North America.
Prediction: 🇱🇻 Latvia 0–4 🇬🇧 England
Tip: England -3 Handicap | Over 3.5 Goals
